Manchester United have statistically the best begin to the 2026-27 Premier League season, whereas Manchester Metropolis and Chelsea have come off worse.
Now that the calendar has been set in stone, we’ve ranked each staff within the Premier League by the problem of their first six matches, based mostly on each membership’s 2025-26 ending place.
Newly-promoted sides Coventry, Ipswich and Hull have been deemed to have completed 18th, nineteenth and twentieth respectively final season.
This isn’t an actual science. Chelsea, Newcastle and Tottenham all underperformed final season and can be considered as trickier fixtures than, to choose two examples, Sunderland or Brentford.
And it wouldn’t be the Premier League with out some shocks; the early fixtures are sometimes a very good time to wager on the outsiders.
However United will definitely fancy their probabilities of a very good begin to their season as they face Hull and Ipswich of their opening two matches.
Liverpool, Aston Villa, Newcastle and Everton have all emerged comparatively unscathed from the Premier League supercomputer, with a very good probability of beginning the marketing campaign strongly.
Manchester Metropolis and Chelsea, each below new administration, haven’t fared so effectively. The Blues have a sort run on paper, however Brentford, Brighton and Bournemouth all completed above them final yr.
In the meantime, Metropolis will face early journeys to Previous Trafford and Anfield as they begin the post-Guardiola period.
Champions Arsenal are center of the street, with early fixtures towards Villa and Chelsea cushioned by some residence bankers.
Sunderland, who overachieved to complete seventh final season, have a run of tough fixtures firstly of a marketing campaign that options European soccer for the primary time since 1973. Is their squad deep sufficient?
We’ve crunched the numbers to see which staff has the best and hardest run to start out the 2026-27 season, listed in reverse order:
20. Manchester United
First six fixtures: Hull (A), Ipswich (H), Everton (A), Man Metropolis (H), Fulham (A), Tottenham (H)
Common problem: 13.6
19. Newcastle
First six fixtures: Liverpool (H), Tottenham (A), Bournemouth (H), Leeds (A), Hull (H), Coventry (A)
Common problem: 13.3
18. Everton
First six fixtures: Crystal Palace (H), Bournemouth (A), Man Utd (H), Tottenham (A), Ipswich (H), Hull (A)
Common problem: 13.3
17. Crystal Palace
First six fixtures: Everton (A), Hull (H), Fulham (A), Ipswich (H), Leeds (A), Nottingham Forest (H)
Common problem: 12.5
16. Nottingham Forest
First six fixtures: Leeds (H), Liverpool (A), Tottenham (H), Aston Villa (A), Coventry (H), Crystal Palace (A)
Common problem: 12.1
15. Aston Villa
First six fixtures: Brighton (A), Arsenal (H), Hull (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Tottenham (A), Brentford (H)
Common problem: 11.8
14. Liverpool
First six fixtures: Newcastle (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Ipswich (A), Fulham (H), Bournemouth (A), Manchester Metropolis (H)
Common problem: 10.8
13. Arsenal
First six fixtures: Coventry (H), Aston Villa (A), Chelsea (H), Sunderland (A), Brighton (A), Leeds (H)
Common problem: 10.1
12. Leeds United
First six fixtures: Nottingham Forest (A), Brentford (H), Brighton (A), Newcastle (H), Crystal Palace (H), Arsenal (A)
Common problem: 10.1
11. Hull Metropolis
First six fixtures: Man Utd (H), Coventry (A), Aston Villa (H), Chelsea (A), Newcastle (A), Everton (H)
Common problem: 10
10. Fulham
First six fixtures: Chelsea (H), Sunderland (A), Crystal Palace (H), Liverpool (A), Man Utd (H), Ipswich (A)
Common problem: 9.83
9. Coventry
First six fixtures: Arsenal (A), Hull (H), Man Metropolis (A), Brighton (H), Nottingham Forest (A), Newcastle (H)
Common problem: 9.83
8. Brentford
First six fixtures: Tottenham (H), Leeds (A), Sunderland (H), Bournemouth (A), Chelsea (H), Aston Villa (A)
Common problem: 9.6
7. Tottenham
First six fixtures: Brentford (A), Newcastle (H), Nottingham Forest (A), Everton (H), Aston Villa (H), Man Utd (A)
Common problem: 9.5
6. Chelsea
First six fixtures: Fulham (A), Brighton (H), Arsenal (A), Hull (H), Brentford (A), Bournemouth (H)
Common problem: 9.1
5. Manchester Metropolis
First six fixtures: Bournemouth (H), Crystal Palace (A), Coventry (H), Man Utd (A), Sunderland (H), Liverpool (A)
Common problem: 9
4. Brighton
First six fixtures: Aston Villa (H), Chelsea (A), Leeds (H), Coventry (A), Arsenal (H), Sunderland (A)
Common problem: 9
3. Ipswich
First six fixtures: Sunderland (H), Man Utd (A), Liverpool (H), Crystal Palace (A), Everton (A), Fulham (H)
Common problem: 9
2. Bournemouth
First six fixtures: Man Metropolis (A), Everton (H), Newcastle (A), Brentford (H), Liverpool (H), Chelsea (A)
Common problem: 8.5
1. Sunderland
First six fixtures: Ipswich (A), Fulham (H), Brentford (A), Arsenal (H), Man Metropolis (A), Brighton (H)
Common problem: 8.3
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